2024 Preseason Outlook
"Return" is the production (minutes, points, rebounds) that is returning to the 2023-2024 roster.
One aspect I have a poor handle on is how the traditionally strong programs with strong coaches can maintain performance even when graduating a lot of production. I could very well have schools like Hope, Transylvania, Millikin, UW-Eau Claire graded far too low because of this.
"STAT" formula -> it's all standard deviations from the mean:
+ win% * 1.75
- Top 25 Poll * 1.00 (minus because lower is better)
- Massey * 2.00 (minus because lower is better)
- NCAA Resume *1.00 (minus because lower is better)
+ Returning * 2.20 (Average % of Min, Pts, Reb that are not marked as Senior or Graduate)
+ Manual Adjustment from key transfers
+ Manual Adjustment for top 20 NCAA Resume last year
+ Manual Adjustment for top 5 NCAA Resume last year
**** LAST UPDATED -> 2023/11/08 2:48pm CT
One aspect I have a poor handle on is how the traditionally strong programs with strong coaches can maintain performance even when graduating a lot of production. I could very well have schools like Hope, Transylvania, Millikin, UW-Eau Claire graded far too low because of this.
"STAT" formula -> it's all standard deviations from the mean:
+ win% * 1.75
- Top 25 Poll * 1.00 (minus because lower is better)
- Massey * 2.00 (minus because lower is better)
- NCAA Resume *1.00 (minus because lower is better)
+ Returning * 2.20 (Average % of Min, Pts, Reb that are not marked as Senior or Graduate)
+ Manual Adjustment from key transfers
+ Manual Adjustment for top 20 NCAA Resume last year
+ Manual Adjustment for top 5 NCAA Resume last year
**** LAST UPDATED -> 2023/11/08 2:48pm CT